2011年1月28日金曜日

The flu this year will be less severe than the previous

http://www.elpais.com/articulo/sociedad/gripe/ano/sera/grave/anterior/elpepusoc/20110117elpepusoc_5/Tes

The flu this year will be less severe than the previous Emergency demands will increase by 15% compared to 20% in 2010 EMILIO DE BENITO - Madrid - 17/01/2011
As winter progresses and spreads the flu, is expected to be a greater pressure sucks the emergency departments. In particular, the demand will rise about 15%, according to the Spanish Society of Emergency Medicine (Shemesh). Last year it was 20%. This year is also the H1N1 virus circulates the most (along with other AH3N2 and one B). "According to our calculations, based on the experience of many years, the increase in the hospitalization of the most serious cases will be around 5% or 7%, coinciding with the peaks of increased incidence of influenza," said Thomas Toranzo, president of Shemesh.
Therefore, Toranzo urges health authorities to "increase the human and material resources of the emergency services, as it seems to only remember them, as Santa Barbara, when it thunders."
Indeed, to analyze the current situation in the emergency department, Shemesh has organized a conference in Madrid on Tuesday 18 January. This is a meeting to be attended heads and coordinators of emergency and which will, by way of conclusion, a series of proposals to improve the quality of care in emergency departments in Spain and explore the viability of these services in the future.
In the last week of 2010, the Instituto de Salud Carlos III, continued the ascent phase of the epidemic wave, with an incidence rate for the second straight week surpassed the threshold value (153.04 cases per 100,000 population). To date 94 cases have been reported serious flu confirmed hospitalized, of whom five have died. Of these, four had risk factors, and three were not vaccinated.

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