アメリカ合州国のインフルエンザや肺炎·感染死者;2010年第13週(03月28日ー04月03日)は、

2010年04月12日月曜日 10:24、曇り/雨、最低気温;11ºC、最高気温;17ºC、BARCELONA県から
アメリカ合州国のインフルエンザ(風邪)や肺炎の感染死亡者数;2010年第13週(03月28日ー04月03日)
は、813人。
TABLE III, Deaths in 122 U.S. cities, week endig (March 28-)
April 3, 2010 (13th week)
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5913md.htm#tab3

CDC, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR)
Notifiable Diseases and Mortality Tables
Weekly
April 9,2010 / 59(13);398-411
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5913md.htm
Table III

2010年04月26日からの新型インフルエンザ(ブタ風邪)A(h1n1)2009ヴィールスによる
先週2010年第13週(3月28日ー04月03日)の新型インフルエンザ児童感染確認死者は、0で、
新型インフルエンザA型未確認感染死者は、01で、合計児童の感染死者は、01。
2009年08月30日からの児童の新型インフルエンザ(ブタ風邪)AH1N1感染確認死者は、220。
新型インフルエンザA型未確認確認死者は、49。季節インフルエンザ確認感染死者は、1。
2009年08月30日からの児童のインフルエンザ感染死者総数は、270。2009年04月26日からの
児童の新型インフルエンザ(ブタ風邪)感染確認死者総数は、280。新型インフルエンザA型未確認
感染死者は、52。季節インフルエンザ感染確認死者は、02。2009年04月26日からの児童の
インフルエンザ感染死者総数は、334。
CDC, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
2009 H1N1 Hlu
2009 H1N1 Flu U.S. Situation Update
April 9, 2010, 11:30 AM ET
http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/updates/us/#totalcases

U.S.Influenza-associated Pediatric Mortality
Posted April 9,2010 (Updated Weekly)
Data reported to CDC by April 3, 2010

2009年08月30日から2010年04月03日までの新型インフルエンザ(ブタ風邪)による確認入院者数は、
4万1821。新型インフルエンザ(ブタ風邪)感染確認死者は、2117。2009年04月から2009年08月の
インフルエンザ(風邪)による入院者数は、9079。インフルエンザ(風邪)感染死者数は、593。
2009年04月からのインフルエンザ感染入院者は、5万0900。インフルエンザ(風邪)感染死者は、
2710。
この数字は、CDCの公式発表の感染死者数は、でたらめです。というのは、インフルエンザ検査数が、
非常に限られているので、感染確認死者数は、感染者実数や、感染死者実数とは、とてつもなく、
非常に懸け離れているからです。それと04月17日にカルフヲルニア州で、2人の子供が新型
インフルエンザ(ブタ風邪)で感染死亡してから、2009年第14週(04月05日ー04月11日)から
2010年第13週(03月28日ー04月03日)までの、インフルエンザ(風邪)や肺炎の感染死者の
総計は、3万9445人にのぼるからです。感染初期の、2009年第17週(04月26日ー05月02日)は、
インフルエンザA(H3)やインフルエンザA(H1)やインフルエンザB型などが、風邪感染者の約7割を
占めていたが、2009年第18週(05月03日ー05月09日)から,新型インフルエンザA(H1N1)2009が
風邪感染者の5割以上をしめて、
最多感染時期の第23週(06月06日ー06月13日)には、インフルエンザ(風邪)感染者の7割ー
9割5分以上を占めた。だからインフルエンザ(風邪)感染者の検査陽性反応の割合から推計すると
いままでのインフルエンザ(風邪)や肺炎·感染死者の総計の3万9445人のうち、新型インフルエンザ
(ブタ風邪)A(H1N1)感染死者は、3万3000ー3万5000人位にはなると思う。
季節インフルエンザ(風邪)の検査結果の陽性反応の結果数のうちの、新型インフルエンザ(ブタ風邪)
A(2009H1N1)の陽性反応結果の割合の表とにらめっこして、考えてください。
たとえば、2009年第39週の09月27日ー10月03日のFLUIEWのINFLUENZA POSITIVE TESTS
REPORTED TO CDC BY U。S。WHO/NREVSS COLLABORATING LABORATORIES、NATINAL
SUMMARY、2008ー2009などを参照してください。
CDC ー SEASONAL INFLUENZA (FLU) ー WEEKLY REPORT:INFLUENZA SUMMARY UPDATE
FLU VIEW
A Weekly Influenza Surveillannce Report Prepared by the Influenza Division
2008-2009 Influenza Season Week 39 (September 27)ending October 3, 2009
Influenza Positive Tests Repoted to CDC by U.S. WHO/NREVSS Collaborating
Laboratories, National Summary, 2008-09
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchieves2008-2009/weekly39.htm

Audio:Feb18 Mar18 Mar31 Apr15 twitter
Live feed of underlying pandemic map data here
Commentary


US Pneumonia & Influenza Deaths Spike To Epidemic Threshold
Recombinomics Commentary 21:37
April 20, 2010


The proportion of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was at the epidemic threshold.

No states reported widespread or regional influenza activity. Four states reported local influenza activity.

The above comments from the CDC week 15 report on influenza in the United States once again highlights the discordance between reported/confirmed pH1N1 cases and Pneumonia and Influenza death rate reported in 122 cities in the United States. The graph of P&I deaths for the past three years clearly shows a change beginning about 11 months ago, following pH1N1 confirmation in the United States. Those cases created a new peak in pediatric deaths and pushed the P&I rate above baseline. It has been above baseline ever since, which is not seen in previous years.

Normally, the P&I rate is at or below baseline for most of the season, and it moves above baseline at the peak of seasonal flu in February or March. In contrast, the P&I rate for the past 11 months has been above baseline for almost every week. Occasionally it briefly falls below baseline, but then spikes higher, as it did for week 15, when it rose to the epidemic threshold, 7.6%. Week 15 is dramatic because the level of reported pH1N1 is so low. In week 15 no state is reported widespread or regional activity. Only four are reporting local activity, and the rest are reporting sporadic or no activity (the week 15 report is displaying the week 14 map).

These data once again raise concerns that fatal pH1N1 pneumonia cases are not being reported/confirmed. P&I deaths do not require lab confirmation, so fatal pneumonia cases which are not tested or test negative for pH1N1 are still reported by the 122 cities.

Testing for pH1N1 is abysmal. Media and journal reports have described case after case which was pH1N1 confirmed at autopsy. These cases repeatedly tested negative for the rapid test as well as PCR because the pH1N1 had already been cleared from the upper respiratory tract and was growing exclusively in the lower respiratory tract (so throat or nasopharyngeal swabs are negative).

Countries worldwide have reported an increase in D225G/D225N cases, which are almost exclusively found in fatal or severe cases. D225G is frequently found at higher levels in the lower respiratory tract, leading to false negatives when the upper respiratory tract is tested.

The CDC has failed to explain the discrepancy. In January, media reports quoted the agency as speculating that the spike in deaths then were due to pneumonia caused by something other than pH1N1. However, the movement of the P&I above baseline began shortly after pH1N1 was confirmed in the spring of 2009 and reflects deaths that are markedly higher than the estimated influenza deaths of 36,000, which is based on the P&I data.

Moreover, the number of tested samples has been minimal. Only 23 samples were tested for low reactor status in the past week, and the one positive raised the total to 6, which appears to be limited to detection of changes at position 159. The CDC no longer reports changes at position 158 as low reactors.

Thus, not only has the CDC failed to explain the high P&I levels and lower sensitivity for detection of low reactors, they have not addressed the gap between their estimate of 12,000 pH1N1 deaths, and the 36,000 average for seasonal flu, since pH1N1 deaths are clearly much higher than an average season based on excessive P&I deaths, which is the criteria for seasonal flu death estimates.

The clear explanation for the cause of the excessive P&I deaths is long overdue.

Media Links

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/04231001/US_PI_Spike.html